Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.080090 0.092556 0.106317 0.122635 0.141459 0.162498 0.187807
2026-01-04 0.061263 0.078217 0.098850 0.125812 0.160136 0.202407 0.258486
2026-01-11 0.050918 0.069728 0.094243 0.128543 0.175341 0.237042 0.324740
2026-01-18 0.043380 0.062893 0.089785 0.129565 0.186990 0.267029 0.387367
2026-01-25 0.037020 0.056390 0.084403 0.127888 0.193805 0.290203 0.442364
2026-02-01 0.031442 0.050054 0.078158 0.123706 0.195831 0.305942 0.487480
2026-02-08 0.028346 0.046982 0.076253 0.125595 0.206908 0.336015 0.557506
2026-02-15 0.025496 0.043864 0.073784 0.126094 0.215541 0.362816 0.624956
2026-02-22 0.023301 0.041510 0.072200 0.127714 0.225976 0.393353 0.701714
2026-03-01 0.020722 0.038150 0.068479 0.125133 0.228729 0.410930 0.757684
2026-03-08 0.018596 0.035319 0.065323 0.123103 0.232069 0.429626 0.817372
2026-03-15 0.017198 0.033650 0.064035 0.124278 0.241285 0.459653 0.901040
2026-03-22 0.016466 0.033189 0.064984 0.129880 0.259688 0.509060 1.028155
2026-03-29 0.015516 0.032193 0.064807 0.133285 0.274239 0.552758 1.149362
2026-04-05 0.014605 0.031157 0.064417 0.136179 0.288020 0.596292 1.275077
2026-04-12 0.013602 0.029805 0.063229 0.137262 0.298126 0.633363 1.391400
2026-04-19 0.012438 0.027971 0.060831 0.135486 0.301921 0.657637 1.482908
2026-04-26 0.011173 0.025765 0.057399 0.131055 0.299399 0.668098 1.545041
2026-05-03 0.010556 0.024944 0.056886 0.133056 0.311406 0.711413 1.686118
2026-05-10 0.009883 0.023913 0.055788 0.133585 0.320074 0.748103 1.815903
2026-05-17 0.009352 0.023156 0.055231 0.135301 0.331676 0.792628 1.969165
2026-05-24 0.008576 0.021717 0.052926 0.132567 0.332284 0.811447 2.062028
2026-05-31 0.007909 0.020471 0.050950 0.130416 0.334072 0.833229 2.164660